Hurricane Facts


HURRICANE BASICS

HOW DO HURRICANES FORM?

STRUCTURE AND CLASSIFICATION OF HURRICANES

SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE

OBTAINING CURRENT CONDITIONS ON A HURRICANE

HOW TO PREDICT THE FUTURE TRACK OF HURRICANES

HOW TO PREPARE FOR A HURRICANE

HURRICANE TRACKING CHART

HURRICANE PICTURES

HURRICANE BASICS

Hurricanes are the longest lasting distructive storms. While tornadoes can get stronger than hurricanes, they do not last nearly as long. Tornadoes are about one minute of distruction, but hurricanes are hours and sometimes days of distruction. For the North Atlantic, hurricane season lasts from June 1 through November 30. The peak time for hurricanes in this area is August, September, and early October. On rare occasions, tropical systems have formed outside of hurricane season, but generally this isn't the case because the atmosphere is not generally favorable during winter and spring for tropical cyclone formation. Hurricanes are very unique and complicated to understand. I will try to explain them in an easy to understand manner.


HOW DO HURRICANES FORM?

Hurricanes are the strongest of tropical cyclones. First of all, a tropical wave "a wave of clouds and showers" moves off of the African coast. Then in time, it may develop a closed low-level cyclonic circulation. When this happens, the storm is classified as a tropical depression. Once the storm gets sustained winds of over 39 mph, the storm is classified as a tropical storm. At that point, it receives a name. After the storm reaches 74 mph, it is classified as a hurricane. It keeps the same name while it is a hurricane. The names alternate between male and female names and are repeated every 6 years. When a hurricane strikes land and causes extreme damage, the name is retired from the list.

For a tropical cyclone to form, you need to have two main characteristics in place.

  1. There needs to be warm waters in place. If the water temperatures are below the mid 70's F, there will probably not be any tropical development. In order for a hurricane to form, you need the water temperature to be about 80 degrees F or above. Intense hurricanes usually form when the water temperatures reach about 85 degrees F or above. They do not always follow this scale because of other atmospheric events, but generally the Atlantic, Caribbean, and Gulf follow these patterns.

  2. Winds aloft have to be light. This is a very hard factor to understand, because this is opposite of land based storms. Storms on land need the vertical wind sheer to maintain their intensity. However, hurricanes seem to work backwards. When there is a lot of vertical wind sheer over a hurricane, they weaken and fall apart. It is a bit more complicated to know the upper-level winds over the ocean than it is on land, but with new age technology and ship stations out in the ocean, we get enough surface and upper air conditions and forecasts to make good predictions. Hurricanes develop the most rapidly when there is an area of high pressure aloft located directly over the center of the low-level circulation. Since the core of the high pressure has calm winds, this prevents any vertical sheer from occurring which in turn adds more fuel to the fire for the hurricane.


STRUCTURE AND CLASSIFICATION OF HURRICANES.

When tropical cyclones reach hurricane intensity, they develop what is called an "eye" around the center of circulation. The eye can be different sizes in different hurricanes. The eye is described as a small area of high pressure and calm weather, located in the middle of a large low pressure and bad weather. Surrounding the eye is usually the most extreme weather of the hurricane. This area is known as the "eye wall." When the eye moves over, the winds become calm for a brief period of time, and sometimes in strong hurricanes with big and well-defined eyes, the sun even comes out for a few minutes. When this happens, it is imperative that you stay in your shelter because this is NOT the end of the hurricane. Given the circular structure of the hurricane, after a few minutes of clearing in the eye, the back side of the eye wall will move over with just as extreme weather that moved through earlier "sometimes even worse". Hurricanes, just like all low pressure systems and cyclones, rotate counter-clockwise in the Northern Hemisphere and clockwise in the Southern Hemisphere. So the only difference once the eye moves over is that the winds will be blowing from the opposite direction because of the circulation around the center. For example, if you are on an island in the Northern Hemisphere, and a hurricane moves over the island from south to north. At the beginning, you will be on the north side of the eye and the counter-clockwise circulation will give you strong winds from the east. After the eye moves over and the storm starts back, you will be on the south side of the eye and your winds will blow from the west.

It is very important for you to know what side of the hurricane or tropical storm that you are located on. The West Side of the storm is usually the calmest part with just wind and rain. However, If you are East or Northeast of the center "eye", then the atmosphere is favorable for tornadoes. For example, a tropical system moving northward from the Gulf of Mexico through Florida, Alabama, Georgia and Tennessee will cause generally rain and wind towards Mississippi and give a threat for tornadoes in the Carolinas.

Hurricanes are classified by the amount of wind and storm surge that they produce. Weak hurricanes are category one. Category two is a little bit stronger. Category three to five is considered major hurricanes. Here are the specifics about these classifications.


SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE

Category Winds Storm Surge
One 74-95 mph 4-5 ft
Two 96-110 mph 6-8 ft
Three 111-130 mph 9-12 ft
Four 131-155 mph 13-18 ft
Five greater than 155 mph greater than 18 ft

OBTAINING CURRENT CONDITIONS ON A HURRICANE.

The National Hurricane Center in Florida issues advisories on tropical systems. Tropical weather outlooks and discussions are issued every 6 hours. Advisories on named storms are also issued every 6 hours for the most part. When a storm threatens land, intermediate advisories are posted every 3 hours and sometimes every 2 hours. In order for the Hurricane Center to issue advisories on the storms, they must know the exact position of the storm as well as the winds, pressure, direction, etc…There are several ways used to obtain this information.

If you are wanting to know how far a hurricane out in the ocean is from your area, then you would use the "Great Circle Distance" formula. This formula takes the latitude and longitude of your area and of the hurricane to give the distance between the two points on the Earth. Since the Earth is a sphere and not flatly round, things get a bit complicated. The formula has to measure the distance from your location to the definite center of the Earth underground. This will form an imaginary line. Now you do the same from the hurricane to the center of the Earth underground. You now have two imaginary lines that meet at a vertex at the center of the Earth and end at separate points on the Earths surface "your house and the hurricane". Once the formula figures the distance of those two imaginary lines, it uses those distances to measure the distance between the two points on the unlevel surface of the earth. It's all similar to the pathagorean theorm that almost everyone is familiar with "keyword is similar, because this doesn't create a right triangle because the surface of Earth is a sphere and not flat and level." The pathagorean theorm is simply (A^2 + B^2 = C^2)...If you know two sides of the triangle, you can figure out the third side. Drawing an imaginary line from your house to the center of the Earth, then from the center of the earth to the hurricane, then along the surface of the Earth back to your house "kinda" makes a triangular shape. So if you know side A "from your house to the center of Earth" and you know side B "from the hurricane to the center of Earth", (which the great circle distance formula figures out for you, all you have to know is latitude/longitude), then you can figure out side C "the distance from the hurricane to your house." Of course, a formula like this will go into a little bit of trigonometry, but if you use the calculator or enter it into a spread sheet, it's really quite simple. The great circle distance formula is as follows:

Great Circle Distance=ACOS(SIN(RADIANS(hurricane latitude))*SIN(RADIANS(your latitude))+COS(RADIANS(hurricane latitude))*COS(RADIANS(your latitude))*COS(RADIANS(hurricane longitude)-RADIANS(your longitude)))*3963.1

HOW TO PREDICT THE FUTURE TRACK OF HURRICANES.

Hurricanes are moved across the oceans by upper-level winds. You have to use other upper atmospheric events and forecasts to know when and where a hurricane will make a turn. A hurricane can be off the coast of South Carolina and moving North toward North Carolina. In order for the hurricane to keep this track, there can not be any blocking features in the way. If you notice that there is a high-pressure system off the coast of North Carolina, then the storm is not going to be able to move through the high pressure. So what would happen? Well, think about it. Winds around the high pressure in the Northern hemisphere rotate clockwise. The hurricane is located to the south of the ridge of high pressure meaning that the winds ahead of the hurricane will be blowing from east to west. This would mean that when the hurricane meets that high pressure, instead of continuing it's northerly course towards North Carolina, it would make a sharp turn towards the west and make a direct hit into South Carolina. Then the hurricane would eventually turn towards the north as it gets to the west of the high pressure offshore, and then move east as it circulates around to the top of the high pressure. Refer to the graphic I drew below to get a better understanding of how this works.

HOW TO PREPARE FOR A HURRICANE.

Hurricane Watch: Hurricane conditions are possible within 24 to 36 hours.


What should you do?


Hurricane Warning: Hurricane conditions are expected within 24 hours. Take quick action to protect life and property!


What should you do?


HURRICANE TRACKING CHART

Here is The official Hurricane Tracking Chart issued by NOAA. Latitude/North degrees are on the side, and Longitude/West degrees are on the bottom.

HURRICANE PICTURES

The following pictures are of Hurricane Mitch over the Caribbean Sea as a category 5 hurricane. The first is a visible satellite, a camera recording from outer space and the second is an infered satellite, which indicated convection. The darker colors mean heavier convection which means stronger storms.

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